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This bet is founded on a massive statistical safety margin from the teams' latest head-to-head encounters in the Champions League in the spring of 2025. Both PSG and Aston Villa play an extremely offensive and forward-thinking brand of football, which consistently results in an incredibly chance-heavy match flow with plenty of shots.

The raw data from their two most recent head-to-head clashes speaks for itself:

Match 1 (Paris, April 2025): 36 total shots
Match 2 (Birmingham, April 2025): 31 total shots

With the line for the Super Cup final set at 25.5 shots at odds 1.83, it provides a huge safety margin. The bet allows for 5 and 10 fewer shots, respectively, compared to the

Queens Park Rangers vs Watford FC Match Trends