England : Premier League - Newcastle United vs Hull City

Newcastle vs Hull stands out as another interesting corner under. A current model gives Under 10.5 corners approximately a 62.9% probability, which corresponds to fair odds of around 1.59. The 10.5 line also gives us a useful margin, as the match can produce 10 total corners and the selection still wins. Newcastle are expected to control large parts of the game, but that does not automatically translate into an extremely high overall corner count, particularly if Hull spend long periods defending deep rather than attacking themselves. If the market is offering around 1.70 or higher, the gap between the modelled probability and the bookmaker price makes Under 10.5 corners one of the better statistical corner options from this match.